- Ithokheni ye-GRAM ihweba cishe ngo-$1.42, yakha iphethini ye-wedge ewayo efana naleyo eyandulela ukuqhekeka kwayo ngo-Ephreli 2026.
- Ukwephuka okungaphezu kokumelana kwe-wedge okuseduze no-$1.48–$1.52 kungabangela ukwehla kwentengo ku-$2, okumelela izinzuzo ezingaphezu kuka-40%.
- Ingcindezi yezomthetho kumsunguli weTelegram uPavel Durov ingeze ingcindezi yokuthengisa, kodwa ukuthengiswa kungase kube ukuqeda i-bullish fractal.
- Ukusekelwa okubalulekile okungu-$1.30–$1.38 kumele kuhlale; ukuvala kwansuku zonke okungaphansi kuka-$1.30 kuzokwenza ukusethwa kwe-bullish kungasebenzi futhi kudalule amazinga aphansi.
I-token ibilokhu ihweba ngaphakathi kwemigqa emibili yokwehla, ehlanganayo kusukela ngoMeyi, yakha lokho abahlaziyi abakubiza ngokuthi i-wedge ewayo. Le ndlela ivame ukukhombisa ukuthi umfutho wokwehla uyawohloka, futhi ukukhuphuka kuya phezulu kungaba semkhawulweni . Ukusethwa kwamanje kubonakalisa ngokuseduze i-wedge ewayo eyaqala phakathi kuka-Okthoba 2025 no-Ephreli 2026, okwagcina kuholele ekukhuleni okunamandla. Ngaleso sikhathi, i-GRAM yaphuka ngaphezu kwe-wedge cishe ngo-$1.30–$1.35 ngevolumu ekhuphukayo, yabuyisa isilinganiso sayo esikhulu sokuhamba esibonakalayo, futhi yakhuphukela ku-$2.70–$2.80. Manje, umlando ungase uziphinde—kodwa awukaqedwa okwamanje.
Amaphuzu Ephethini Lobuchwepheshe Ekubuyeni Okungenzeka
I-wedge ewayo iyiphethini yokubuyela emuva ye-bullish yakudala, kodwa iqinisekisa kuphela ukusebenza kwayo uma intengo yehla ngaphezu komugqa wethrendi ophezulu. Uma lokho kwenzeka, i-GRAM ingakhuphukela ku-$2 emasontweni azayo, okuzomelela inzuzo engaphezu kuka-40% kusuka emazingeni amanje . I-daily relative strength index (RSI) ihlezi cishe ku-38, ngaphezu nje komkhawulo othengisiwe kakhulu ongu-30. Lokho kusho ukuthi kusenendawo yokwehla kwesikhathi esifushane kuya phezulu kwe-wedge eduze no-$1.30, kodwa umbono obanzi uhlala uthambekele phezulu uma iphethini iqhubeka.
Uma sibheka i-fractal yangaphambilini, ukufana kunzima ukungayinaki. I-wedge eyakheka kusukela ngo-Okthoba 2025 kuya ku-Ephreli 2026 nayo ibone intengo ishintshashintsha eduze komngcele ongezansi ngaphambi kokuqhekeka okuqinile. Ivolumu yanda njengoba i-GRAM isula indawo yokumelana engu-$1.30–$1.35 , futhi ithokheni yabuyisa ngokushesha isilinganiso sayo sokuhamba se-exponential esingu-50-, 100-, kanye no-200-day . Lokho kunyakaza kwavula indlela yokugijima ku-$2.70–$2.80. I-wedge yamanje ayikaqinisekiswa, kodwa izingcezu zilandelana.
Amaleveli angukhiye wokubuka
Ukuze isimo se-bullish siphumelele, i-GRAM idinga ukubamba isifunda esingu-$1.30–$1.38 bese iphula ngaphezu kokumelana kwe-wedge eduze kuka-$1.48–$1.52. Ukunyakaza okwengeziwe ngaphezu kwama-EMA ezinsuku ezingu-50, 100, kanye nama-200, ahlanganiswe phakathi kuka-$1.58 no-$1.65, kungavula umnyango oya ku-$1.78–$1.82 , kulandelwe umgomo olinganisiwe weshadi ongu-$2.03. Lokho kungaba cishe ukubuya okungu-43% kusuka emazingeni amanje. Ngakolunye uhlangothi, ukuvala kwansuku zonke okungaphansi kuka-$1.30 kungenza buthaka ukuqhathaniswa kwe-bullish kakhulu futhi kudalule indawo engu-$1.20–$1.25.
Abahwebi nabo baqapha kakhulu ivolumu. Ukuphuma kuka-Ephreli kuhambisane nokwanda okucacile kwengcindezi yokuthenga , futhi kuzodingeka ukwanda okufanayo kwevolumu ukuqinisekisa ukuthi i-wedge iyaphela ngempela . Ngaphandle kwayo, iphethini ingahluleka futhi iholele ekwehleni okwengeziwe.
Iziphepho Ezingokomthetho Zengeza Ingcindezi
Ukwehla kwakamuva kwe-GRAM akubanga nje ngokobuchwepheshe. Kuvele imibiko yokuthi iziphathimandla zaseRussia zisole umsunguli we-Telegram uPavel Durov ngokusolwa ngokusiza ubuphekula futhi zakhipha iwaranti yokuboshwa yamazwe ngamazwe ngokumelene naye. Imakethe ibilokhu ibheka izinyathelo zomthetho ngokumelene noDurov njengengozi ohlelweni olubanzi lwe-Telegram kanye ne-TON . Isibonelo, uToncoin wathinteka kakhulu ngemuva kokuboshwa kukaDurov eFrance ngo-Agasti 2024. Ukusabela kwamanje kuthulisiwe kakhulu, kodwa kusunduze i-GRAM eduze nokusekelwa okufanayo okuwela phansi okwandulela ukuqubuka kuka-Ephreli.
Ngokuthakazelisayo, ukuthengiswa okuhlobene neDurov kungenzeka ukuthi kusize ekuqedeni i-bullish fractal. Ngokuhambisa intengo phansi emngceleni ophansi we-wedge, ingcindezi yezomthetho ibeka isisekelo esingaba khona sokubuya kwe-rebound . Kodwa-ke, i-GRAM isadinga ukubuyisa indawo engu-$1.50–$1.65 ngevolumu enamandla ngaphambi kokunyuka okulindelwe ekuqinisekisweni kwenzuzo engu-$2.03. Kuze kube yileso sikhathi, iphethini isalokhu isebenza.
Uma kucatshangelwa konke, i-GRAM isesimweni esibucayi. Ukwehla kwentengo akusekho, i-RSI icishe ithengiswe ngokweqile, futhi isibonelo esingokomlando siyakhuthaza. Kodwa ukunqwabelana kwentengo okusemthethweni kanye nesidingo sokwanda kwentengo kusho ukuthi abadayisi kufanele babheke ukwesekwa okungu-$1.30 kanye nokumelana okungu-$1.48–$1.52 eduze ezinsukwini ezizayo . Uma iphethini iqhubeka njengoba kwenzeka ngo-Ephreli, intengo ingase ikhuphuke iye ku-$2. Uma kungenjalo, ithokheni ingase yehle ngaphambi kokuthola intengo ephansi.